Bloomberg Election Odds
Oct 31, 2020 The authors performed 100,000 simulations of every presidential election from 1988 through 2016, and found that the chances that the outcome turns on fewer than 10,000 votes in a single state is 4. Michael Bloomberg 2020 Odds Bloomberg, the former New York City mayor, shortens to +450 and is closing on Sanders fast. Skipping the first two states was an unconventional strategy, one which has never worked before, but it’s hard to imagine a way it could’ve worked out better for Bloomberg thanks to chaos in Iowa and a tighter vote than.
Election Betting Odds
By Maxim Lott and John Stossel
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Odds for this page are averaged between FTX.com, Betfair and Smarkets
20.1% +0.0% |
15.1% +0.0% |
10.6% -0.1% |
5.7% +0.0% |
3.9% +0.0% |
3.9% +0.0% |
1.9% +0.0% |
1.7% +0.0% |
1.7% +0.0% |
1.5% +0.0% |
1.5% +0.0% |
1.4% +0.0% |
1.2% +0.0% |
1.0% +0.0% |
0.9% +0.0% |
0.8% +0.0% |
0.5% +0.0% |
0.4% -0.1% |
0.4% +0.0% |
0.2% +0.0% |
25.6% |
54.0% +0.0% |
42.5% +0.0% |
3.5% |
22.4% 0.2% |
11.3% +0.0% |
10.0% +0.0% |
7.5% 0.1% |
4.8% 0.1% |
4.1% 0.1% |
3.7% -0.2% |
2.9% +0.0% |
2.9% +0.0% |
2.7% 0.2% |
2.5% 0.3% |
2.5% +0.0% |
2.5% +0.0% |
2.0% +0.0% |
1.6% +0.0% |
0.8% +0.0% |
15.8% |
By John Stossel | By Nate Silver | By Burton Malkiel | By Maajid Nawaz | By Yeonmi Park |
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